ROYAL ASCOT BETTING TIPS: Day four selections from Robin Goodfellow and Hollie Doyle

Dual Guineas heroine Hermosa has proved herself to be head and shoulders above contemporaries over a mile this season and a repeat of either of her Classic performances is likely to prove good enough to complete a magnificent Group One hat-trick. 

The figures gurus have highlighted the level she reached in routing her field in the Irish Guineas last month, labelling it a better performance than her gritty Newmarket victory. The visual impression certainly suggested as much. 

Of course, there is a chance an industrious spring and early summer may have taken the edge off the daughter of Galileo.

Hermosa has proved herself to be head and shoulders above rivals over a mile this season

Hermosa has proved herself to be head and shoulders above rivals over a mile this season

However, such was her authority and superiority in Ireland last time in beating Pretty Pollyanna that it will be a surprise if she can’t account for today’s rivals in the same manner.

ROYAL ASCOT 

ROBIN GOODFELLOW

2.30 Lil Grey (nap)

3.05 Private Secretary

3.40 Jash

4.20 Hermosa

5.00 Hotsy Totsy (nb)

5.35 Fujaira Prince

GIMCRACK 

2.30 Daahyeh

3.05 Private Secretary

3.40 Jash (nap)

4.20 Hermosa (nb)

5.00 Lady Madison

5.35 Arthurian Fame

2.30 ALBANY STAKES   

Sheila Lavery was dealt a devastating blow recently when she lost star filly Lady Kaya in a training accident but LIL GREY could hand the Co Meath handler a welcome boost in this wide-open contest. The presence of two Wesley Ward speedsters — Chili Petin and Nayibeth — means this is a difficult race to be confident about.

However, the selection has looked a potential star in the making in her two outings at Leopardstown (7f) and the Curragh (6f), with her latest performance particularly impressive given the manner in which she travelled throughout a truly-run affair.

There are plenty of dangers with the likes of Galadriel (a huge eye-catcher on debut at York), JM Jackson (crying out for a step up to 6f) and emphatic Lingfield scorer Last Surprise all expected to leave their initial efforts behind them.

SELECTION: LIL GREY 20-1

DANGER: JIM JACKSON 14-1

3.05 KING EDWARD VII STAKES

The eye-catching Derby run of Japan will ensure he heads the market for this intriguing renewal and, given he has been slow to come to hand this season, there is every chance he could improve further.

Providing he has taken those exertions in his stride, the Epsom-third should take some beating here but PRIVATE SECRETARY should not be underestimated as he displayed a ready turn of foot to score at Goodwood last time.

Trainer John Gosden has won two of the last eight runnings of this event in contrast to Aidan O’Brien who has saddled 15 contenders in the last decade without success. Admittedly, the ground is an unknown for Private Secretary, but hopefully a couple of largely dry days may ensure conditions are favourable.

SELECTION: PRIVATE SECRETARY 10-3

DANGER: JAPAN 5-4

3.40 COMMONWEALTH CUP   

Jash and Khaadem provide good opposition for Ten Sovereigns, who will be the banker of the day for many here after shaping well in the Guineas.

There is little doubt that Newmarket’s mile stretched the stamina of Ten Sovereigns and today’s trip will be much more suitable for a horse blessed with plenty of speed.

However, Jash, who will be ridden by Jim Crowley, only has half a length to find with the market leader on their running in the Middle Park Stakes last season and the form of his 7f comeback win in Listed company has worked out very nicely with the runner-up and fourth home winning since.

Khaadem can be a little feisty in the preliminaries but he still produced a fine performance on the clock at Newbury and will relish any cut in the ground and the stiffer track today.

SELECTION: JASH 4-1

DANGER: KHAADEM 7-1

4.20 CORONATION STAKES  

Dual Guineas heroine HERMOSA has proved herself to be head and shoulders above contemporaries over a mile this season and a repeat of either of her Classic performances is likely to prove good enough to complete a magnificent Group One hat-trick.

The figures gurus have highlighted the level she reached in routing her field in the Irish Guineas last month, labelling it a better performance than her gritty Newmarket victory. The visual impression certainly suggested as much. Of course, there is a chance an industrious spring and early summer may have taken the edge off the daughter of Galileo.

However, such was her authority and superiority in Ireland last time in beating Pretty Pollyanna that it will be a surprise if she can’t account for today’s rivals in the same manner.

One potential stumbling block is stall 10 which could make it a little tricky for Ryan Moore to dominate his field in the manner he did at the Curragh, but Hermosa boasts the class to overcome a wide berth and confirm placings with her old adversary. For a horse making her seasonal comeback in a Classic, Pretty Pollyanna acquitted herself admirably and she may edge out the progressive Jubiloso and French Guineas winner Castle Lady for the runner-up berth.

SELECTION: HERMOSA EVANS

DANGER: PRETTY POLLYANNA 8-1

5.00 SANDRINGHAM STAKES    

Trainer Ed Walker was responsible for landing one of the gambles of recent times in this race last year with the classy Agrotera and lightning could strike twice with HOTSY TOTSY today.

The daughter of Casamento made a pleasing start to racing in a soft-ground Newbury maiden in April and has improved markedly since, winning on the bridle at both Salisbury and Kempton, displaying a lovely attitude on both occasions. She is likely to be the recipient of a quiet ride from Jamie Spencer who has few peers on the straight track at Ascot.

Nonchalance bounced off fast ground to win cosily at Newmarket and rates a major danger as will be York scorer Magnetic Charm, who runs in this instead of the Coronation Stakes.

SELECTION: HOTSY TOTSY 10-1

DANGER: MAGNETIC CHARM 10-1

5.35 DUKE OF EDINBURGH STAKES   

Johnny Drama holds a Group One entry later in the season and is a horse to keep onside, judged on his performances in Ireland. However, he is reluctantly overlooked here with his trademark front-running tactics difficult to execute at this venue.

It is also tough to separate Baghdad and Corgi — whose trainer, Hughie Morrison, has won with two of his three runners in this race — after they fought out a terrific finish to the three-year-old 12-furlong handicap at this meeting 12 months ago.

The latter shaped with a good degree of promise at York on his comeback from a wind operation behind the smart First Eleven and FUJAIRA PRINCE. However, the latter is marginally preferred given he won’t mind any juice in the ground, while the manner in which he kept responding to pressure on the Knavesmire was particularly encouraging.

SELECTION: FUJAIRA PRINCE 6-1

DANGER: CORGI 7-1

HOLLIE DOYLE: FINAL SONG IS A BORN WINNER

HELLO YOUMZAIN ran well in the Greenham Stakes on his seasonal comeback but looked a different proposition back down to six furlongs when winning the Sandy Lane Stakes at Haydock.

That run makes him my pick for the Commonwealth Cup. The Kevin Ryan-trained colt beat Calyx at Haydock and that rival would have been favourite for today’s race if he hadn’t been ruled out by injury.

Conditions should be drying up but it is also a positive that Hello Youmzain, the mount of Kevin Stott, has winning form on soft ground as well as good to firm.

I rode Archie Watsontrained EXCLUSIVELY when she was only just beaten by Good Vibes at Salisbury trying to give her weight. The form was boosted when Good Vibes won a hot race at York and Exclusivity is a leading player in the Albany Stakes. Trainer  William Haggas has been having a good week and his PABLO ESCOBARR, runner-up to subsequent Derby winner Anthony Van Dyck in the Lingfield Derby Trial, should go close in the King Edward VII Stakes.

HERMOSA, the winner of the English and Irish 1,000 Guineas, is hot favourite for the Coronation Stakes and it is hard to see her being beaten. She is a straightforward, stronggalloping filly and the track should play to her strengths.

Hollie Doyle is a Sky Sports Racing ambassador. Watch all the action from Royal Ascot live on Sky Sports Racing. 

CAPTAIN HEATH

2.30 SEPARATE

3.05 PRIVATE SECRETARY

3.40 TEN SOVEREIGNS

4.20 HERMOSA

5.00 FLIGHTY ALMIGHTY

5.35 BEN VRACKIE (nap)

FORECAST

2.30 JM JACKSON

3.05 JAPAN (NAP)

3.40 TEN SOVEREIGNS

4.20 HERMOSA

5.00 AIM POWER

5.35 FUJAIRA PRINCE

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